Bitcoin’s Correction Ends, Upcoming Major Rally Starts: Technical Insights

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By Faisal Ahmad

Bitcoin Correction is Over: The Next Major Rally is Beginning Now

Bitcoin enthusiasts and investors have reasons to be optimistic. Technical analysis on both daily and weekly charts suggests that Bitcoin is on the brink of a significant rally. With ambitious targets of at least $100,000 and possibly $300,000 in sight, the cryptocurrency market could be poised for an exciting phase ahead.

**A Clearer Path After Capitulation**

The recent 30% drop in Bitcoin prices may seem alarming at first glance, but it appears to be a clearing capitulation—a necessary shakeout of weak hands, paving the way for the next bullish move. Since bottoming out at around $50,000, Bitcoin has already rallied by 26%, effectively breaking short-term downtrend lines and smashing through price resistance.

**Daily Chart Insights**

Looking closely at the daily chart, we observe that the price action since March has formed a classic bull flag pattern, characterized by a series of overlapping sub-waves. This period mirrors the technical setup seen during the April-August 2023 stretch, which eventually led to Bitcoin’s previous all-time highs. Specifically:

– The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dipped into its green support zone.
– The 20, 50, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) compressed together before prices surged.

This setup is being replicated today, indicating that the recent drop successfully retested the breakout from the green channel from above. This suggests that Bitcoin is poised to advance with a steeper angle of ascent.

**Weekly Chart Analysis**

When we switch to the weekly chart, the bullish signals become even clearer. The conditions preceding the last major rally starting in September show a similar setup:

– The weekly RSI is in the same favorable condition as before the last big move.
– The price movements and the configuration of the 20 and 50-week EMAs are also aligning similarly.

Once the short-term red downtrend is taken out, it’s expected that the rally will continue unabated until the weekly RSI reaches its red resistance zone.

**Fear and Opportunity**

Interestingly, the Bitcoin Greed/Fear Index is currently showing extreme fear. Historically, such bearish sentiment precedes significant bullish price movements. As this bearishness unwinds, don’t be surprised to see Bitcoin making daily moves of +10%.

**Future Targets and Potential**

Steven Vincent, the analyst behind this optimistic outlook, firmly believes that Bitcoin’s next rally could see it reach a minimum of $100k, and potentially even hit the $300k mark. Vincent’s confidence stems from his extensive market analysis, which aligns historical patterns with current technical signals.

Vincent points out that these significant price movements are par for the course in the world of Bitcoin, where volatility is the norm rather than the exception. The period since March, despite apparent turmoil, is relatively minor on the grander scale of Bitcoin’s historical chart patterns.

**Steven Vincent’s Expertise**

It’s crucial to note that Steven Vincent isn’t new to market analysis. With a background dating back to 1998 and as a proud member of the Market Technicians Association, Vincent offers his insights through BullBear Trading. His focus remains on intermediate to long-term swing trading, making his analysis valuable for serious investors.

**Caveats and Disclosures**

However, as with any investment, it’s important to exercise caution. Vincent himself acknowledges the unpredictable nature of markets and notes that past performance does not guarantee future results. Additionally, Vincent discloses his beneficial long position in BTC-USD, emphasizing that his analysis is genuinely reflective of his market stance.

**Conclusion**

In conclusion, the recent 30% drop in Bitcoin should be seen as a strategic clearing event rather than a signal of doom. With the subsequent 26% rally, Bitcoin has firmly positioned itself for what could potentially be a significant upward movement. Both daily and weekly charts signal bullish patterns, and the currently fearful market sentiment is likely to transition into a phase of optimism and aggressive buying.

Investors and traders should prepare for the next phase in Bitcoin’s evolutionary journey, where the targets of $100,000 and even $300,000 are not just hopeful wishes but technically viable milestones.

Keep an eye on the technical setups and market sentiment shifts to stay ahead of these potential market movements. For more insights, read Vincent’s full analysis and related articles on Seeking Alpha.

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